It is smaller venues which, for the many good reasons you elaborated, strongly tend over time to vote for the national … Here are some actual statistics and facts that prove 2020 wasn’t on the level. 2020: Trump – 59.1%, Biden – 38.5. In other words, it is not the case that someone wins because they win a bellwether county… Colleton County, South Carolina – one miss since 1968 (in 1980), perfect since 1984. 2. (5 out of the top 5) Self | 11-8-20 Posted on 11/08/2020 9:27:08 AM PST by TrumpRedJoe. Indiana's Vigo County had been America’s most reliable presidential bellwether, voting in line with the rest of the nation since 1956 But it may lose that status in 2020: In 2016, it broke for Mr. Trump by a whopping 15 points, and it’s easy to see him carrying it again this fall, even if he loses the presidency. Wall Street Journal, Nov. 13, Bellwether Counties Nearly Wiped Out by 2020 Election" Associated Press, Nov. 18, " America’s bellwethers crumbled in aligning with Trump in ’20 " In politics, a “bellwether” refers to a geographic area whose political beliefs and voting preferences reflect that of a wider area. Taking the pulse in Vigo County, Indiana, which has voted for the presidential winner in all but two elections over the past century. Subscribe. Def-Con News brought you 10 Reasons Why The 2020 Election Results Are Fake. Only one county went for former Vice President Joe Biden by about a … “I’ve already lost 30 friends in the past four years. Biden might be the first U.S. president in 60 years to lose the bellwether states of Ohio and Florida. From 1960 to 2004, the county was within 3 percent of the "national margins between presidential candidates." It has missed only two since 1888: 1952 and 1908. Bellwether Counties Nearly Wiped Out In 2020 Election WSJ ^ | 11-13-20 | John McCormick Posted on 11/13/2020 8:12:43 AM PST by TrumpRedJoe. Skip to comments. While these are the top bellwether counties, there are many more that are considered to be predictive. What a Bellwether County Is Saying About 2020 Election. Trump won 18 of the 19 counties both Democrats and Republicans regard as the "bellwether" counties that virtually always go with the outcome of presidential elections. Between 1892 and 2004, Vigo County had voted for every winning presidential candidate except in 1908 and 1952. 2020: Trump – 54.12%, Biden – 45.20%. These 19 counties—well less than 1% of the nation’s total—have in the last 10 elections backed Republicans for the White House six times and Democrats four times, according to a … Wood County is a decent bellwether of the state: Mr. Trump carried it by eight points in 2016, matching his statewide margin. Those reasons were observations of anomalies and things that defied reality, all pointing to a stolen election. 10 Bellwether Counties Could Signal Where Election's Headed | RealClearPolitics. Susan Tingley, executive director of the Vigo County Historical Museum, on Nov. 11, 2020, in Terre Haute, Indiana. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. Bellwether counties show trouble for Trump Albert Hunt, opinion contributor 7/8/2020. Of course, bellwethers are bellwethers until they aren’t. While the meme's numbers are mostly true — Biden did win significantly fewer counties than both Obama in 2008 and Trump in 2020 — that doesn't mean the Nov. 3 election was tainted by fraud. Swing County, Swing State; Pa.'s election bellwether is getting redder: ... That gap shrank to 25,600 in 2016 and so far in 2020 it has been reduced further ... (Can’t see the chart? Key bellwether counties in the swingiest states appeared during the 2016 and 2018 cycles that can help serve as a guide for 2020. Only 1 of 17 went for Biden this year! It has missed only two since 1888: 1952 and 1908. In 2018, Senator Sherrod Brown, a Democrat, carried it by 11 points. America has become so polarized that presidential bellwether counties—those that consistently back the national winner, switching between parties in the process—are nearing extinction. Vigo County in Indiana has chosen the winner correctly since 1956, the Journal pointed out. Overcoming Bellwether County Losses "Amazingly, he managed to secure victory while also losing in almost every bellwether county across the country," Shurk wrote. Vigo County, Indiana, is the best example of this type of bellwether. Susan Tingley, the executive director of the Vigo County Historical Museum, talks about the history of voting in Vigo County as she stands by a display in the museum, Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2020, in Terre Haute, Ind. Indiana's Vigo County had been America’s more reliable presidential bellwether, voting in line with the rest of the nation since 1956. Washington County, Maine – one miss since 1972 (in 1976), perfect since 1980. “Whatever happens, it’s not going to be good,” he said. Vigo County in Indiana has chosen the winner correctly since 1956, the Journal pointed out. He had fewer votes than Obama did in 2008 in 70.7% of counties, yet still got nearly 12 million more votes than Obama. "No presidential candidate has been capable of such electoral jujitsu until now." He lost the DE bellwether county by 47-51. Yet he lost. The Joe Biden campaign is targeting bellwether counties that went for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in 2016, but that may swing back to the Democrats in 2020. November 18, 2020. Winnebago County: A large bellwether county in east-central Wisconsin, Mr. Trump won it in 2016, but in 2018 Democrats running for governor and the Senate performed much better. In 2020, amid widespread accusations of Democrat cheating, these bellwethers wer not even close — checking in at a mind-blowing 6%! The Democrat carried the far northwest, rural county by only about 3 points, however. Trending Politics, by Jonathan Davis Original Article. I find this county Bellwether chart valuable because it is *not* a state level comparison, rather a reality check to state results. Claim: A chart comparing number of counties won by presidential candidates to popular vote totals signifies potential election fraud. For example, a county might be said to be a “bellwether county” if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state. 16 of 17 Bellwether Counties Went for Trump — HAS NEVER HAPPENED in 36 Years! Of the top ten most historically accurate bellwether counties this election.....Trump won 9 of them (including the top 5) by an average of 55-43. Valencia County’s winning streak extends to Eisenhower’s first victory in 1952. ... Immigration experts say GOP senators questioned DHS secretary with misleading chart. 6 – Thousands of precincts all reporting significant over vote in Michigan. Insight from pollster Justin Wallin on the 10 bellwether counties to watch for this election. The Journal also noted that just 2.5% of the nation’s counties flipped from one party in 2016 to the other in 2020. For instance, he lost 18 out of 19 bellwether counties, failed to take any of the 27 toss-up Congressional seats, and overcame Trump’s incumbent advantage of winning 94% of the primary votes. The Democrat carried the far northwest, rural county by only about 3 points, however. Trump took 9 out of the top ten bellwether counties. Perhaps the most widely cited bellwether in the country, Vigo, which includes Terre Haute, is the only county in America that has voted for the winner of every presidential race since 1956. The Journal also noted that just 2.5% of the nation's counties flipped from one party in 2016 to the other in 2020. ... Tal Axelrod, The Hill October 20, 2020 (AP Photo/Tony Dejak) … WSJ’s Post-Election Analysis of Bellwether Counties Shows a Clear Presidential Winner and It’s Not Close. Click here.) 2020 presidential election results may still be unclear, but Northampton County’s early returns capture the character of the race. Bellwether counties are bellwether counties because they predict winners, not the other way around. Cable news loves to point to Vigo County, Indiana on election night coverage because Indiana is one of the first two states to close its polls and it has picked the winner of every presidential race since 1956. America's bellwethers crumbled in aligning with Trump in '20. And yet strangely Trump won Vigo County in 2020 by a comfortable 56/41 margin or 15 points and he won Valencia County a slightly smaller 10 point margin 54/44! I asked him how he thought Valencia County would break in 2020.
